Fuzzy model for complex risk assessment of an enterprise investment project

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dc.contributor.authorГригорук, П.М.
dc.contributor.authorГригорук, Павло Михайлович
dc.contributor.authorHryhoruk, Pavlo
dc.contributor.authorHryhoruk, P.
dc.contributor.authorChaikovska, I.
dc.contributor.authorChaikovskyi, M.
dc.date.accessioned2022-01-10T19:13:33Z
dc.date.available2022-01-10T19:13:33Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.abstractThe article proposes an economic-mathematical model for determining a comprehensive risk assessment of the investment project of the enterprise which are based on the approaches of A. Nedosekin. The model is built using fuzzy logic and takes into account the probability of occurrence of each of the identified risks and the level of impact of each of them on the project. The probability of risk is set by experts in the form of points and converted into linguistic terms, and the level of influence of each of them on the project – the ratio of benefits and is determined using Fishburne scales. The proposed Project Risk Model consists of the following stages: formation of initial data using expert opinions; construction of a hierarchical project risk tree; determination of weight coefficients (Fishburne weights) of project risks; selection and description of membership function and linguistic variables; conversion of input data provided by experts from a score scale into linguistic terms; recognition of qualitative input data on a linguistic scale; determination of a complex indicator of investment project risks; interpretation of a complex indicator. The developed model allows managing the risks of the project to maximize the probability of its successful implementation, to compare alternative projects and choose less risky, to minimize the level of unforeseen costs of the projectuk_UA
dc.identifier.citationChaikovska I., Hryhoruk P., Chaikovskyi M. Fuzzy model for complex risk assessment of an enterprise investment project. SEUR-WS. 2021. Vol. 3048. Paper 09. Pp. 163-179. URL: http://ceur-ws.org/Vol-3048/paper09.pdfuk_UA
dc.identifier.urihttps://elar.khmnu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/11259
dc.language.isoenuk_UA
dc.subjectfuzzy modeluk_UA
dc.subjectcomplex risk assessmentuk_UA
dc.subjectenterprise investment projectuk_UA
dc.titleFuzzy model for complex risk assessment of an enterprise investment projectuk_UA
dc.typeСтаттяuk_UA
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Кафедра економіки, аналітики, моделювання та інформаційних технологій в бізнесі