Forecasting the innovation of Ukraine’s economic development in a global dimension
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Дата
2023
Автори
Honcharov, Yu.V.
Dykha, M.V.
Voronina, V.
Milka, A.
Klymenchukova, N.
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Видавець
Анотація
Purpose. To analyze the state and trends of innovative development of the countries of the world, to define the place of Ukraine
in the international arena and forecast its innovation.
Methodology. The methodological basis was formed by general scientific theoretical methods: generalization, explanation,
grouping; statistical method (for a comprehensive assessment of the state and trends of innovative activity of the economies of the
countries of the world and Ukraine); methods of analysis and synthesis, economic and mathematical methods of forecasting,
methods of abstraction and visualization (for a visual demonstration of the actual data and the results of the study).
Findings. The level of innovativeness of the world’s economies and Ukraine’s position in the ranking of the Global Innovation
Index (GII) are analyzed. The positive/stimulating influence of globalization processes on the spread of innovations, as well as
discriminatory methods of innovative development (“dumping” of second-order technologies in developing countries) are noted.
The GII forecast is determined using a regression model of the dependence of this indicator on the specific weight of innovationactive enterprises in the total number of industrial enterprises and innovation costs. The forecasting results showed a slight downward trend in the value of the GII of Ukraine. It is argued that in order to increase the level of innovativeness of the national
economy, to strengthen Ukraine’s competitive position, and taking into account the fact that the economies of other countries do
not stop in their development, it is necessary to significantly intensify innovative activity in Ukraine.
Опис
Ключові слова
economic development, innovation, Global Innovation Index, rating, forecasting
Бібліографічний опис
Honcharov Yu. V., Dykha M. V., Voronina V., Milka A., Klymenchukova N. (2023). Forecasting the innovation of Ukraine’s economic development in a global dimension. Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu, 1, 174-181. https://doi.org/10.33271/nvngu/2023-1/174