Прогнозування чистого прибутку енергопостачального підприємства ПАТ"Хмельницькобленерго"
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Дата
2015
Автори
Щипанова, Я.І.
Щука, В.Г.
Shchypanova, Y.I.
Shchuka, V.H.
Назва журналу
Номер ISSN
Назва тому
Видавець
Хмельницький національний університет
Анотація
За допомогою методу групового урахування аргументів синтезовано прогнозні моделі чистого прибутку
енергопостачального підприємства, висунуто та перевірено гіпотезу щодо підвищення точності прогнозування,
здійснено порівняльний аналіз отриманих результатів.
Among the totality of existing modelling techniques is not always possible to find such one that in given conditions and tight time constraints are able to provide the necessary accuracy in predicting interests, make informed decisions regarding the management of enterprises, in particular in the field of energy, which has its own characteristics. The aim of this work was to study possible ways of increasing the accuracy of forecasting net profit of JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo" as one of the main indicators of financial and economic activity of the power supplying company. With GMDH were synthesized prediction models of net profit of power supplying company, was interposed and verified the hypothesis for increasing accuracy of prediction, was made the comparative analysis of the results. Prediction was conducted on the basis of initial data for the last 8 years. As a result, received a reduction of average percentage error of data modification.
Among the totality of existing modelling techniques is not always possible to find such one that in given conditions and tight time constraints are able to provide the necessary accuracy in predicting interests, make informed decisions regarding the management of enterprises, in particular in the field of energy, which has its own characteristics. The aim of this work was to study possible ways of increasing the accuracy of forecasting net profit of JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo" as one of the main indicators of financial and economic activity of the power supplying company. With GMDH were synthesized prediction models of net profit of power supplying company, was interposed and verified the hypothesis for increasing accuracy of prediction, was made the comparative analysis of the results. Prediction was conducted on the basis of initial data for the last 8 years. As a result, received a reduction of average percentage error of data modification.
Опис
Ключові слова
МГУА, прогнозування, чистий прибуток, GMDH, prediction, net income
Бібліографічний опис
Щипанова, Я.І. Прогнозування чистого прибутку енергопостачального підприємства ПАТ"Хмельницькобленерго" [Текст] / Я. І. Щипанова, В. Г. Щука // Вісник Хмельницького національного університету. Економічні науки. – 2015. – № 2, т. 1. – С. 80-83.